← The Wire

How the numbers work

Every figure on The Wire is computed the same way for every signal, winners and losers alike. These are the definitions.

Signal

One call from the TrenchWire desk. Recorded the moment it is fired; the timestamp shown is that moment in UTC, to the second.

Entry MC

Market cap of the token at the exact time of the call, as recorded by Phanes.

Peak MC / Peak-x

Highest market cap reached after the call, and that peak divided by entry. Peak is a maximum, not a realized result.

Now-x

Current market cap divided by entry. Shown next to peak so the drawdown from peak is always visible.

WIN

Peak-x of 2.00 or higher from entry MC at call time.

MISS

Peak-x below 2.00.

DEAD

Current market cap has collapsed below 10% of entry. A winning call can also be dead later; both are shown.

Hit rate

Wins divided by all signals in the window. Misses and dead calls are never removed from the denominator.

Median-x

Median of peak-x across signals in the window. Less sensitive to single moonshots than the average.

2x in …

Time from the call to the first observation of 2x by this service. Only shown for calls observed live, never back-filled.

Live / Settled

Live for 24 hours after the call, then Settled.

Verification

All call records and performance come from Phanes Bot. Token metadata (image, live MC, volume) comes from the same data source the Phanes DApp uses.

Refresh

The feed re-polls every 60 seconds. The header shows how many seconds ago the last successful update happened.

Not financial advice. Peak ≠ realized. All times UTC.

Syncing